Analyst IDC is predicting a rebound for console games over the next two years, despite the growing popularity of tablets and smartphones.
IDC Gaming research manager Lewis Ward said that while 2011 and 2012 were tough for console game disc developers and publishers, the advent of eighth generation consoles such as the Wii U suggests that game disc revenues will stop “bleeding” in 2013 and will rise substantively in 2014.
“The console ecosystem is in a state of flux since these platforms need to support an ever-growing array of non-gaming features and services at the same time that game distribution and monetisation is moving in a digital direction,” Ward added.
“At the same time, it doesn’t appear that alternative platforms — set-top boxes from cable companies, Web-connected smart TVs, and so on — are positioned to materially disrupt the trajectory of the ‘big 3′ console OEMs in 2013 or 2014. Discs will remain the console game revenue mainstay for years to come.”
Nevertheless, IDC predicts that the volume of packaged game discs shipped will decline an average of roughly 3% per year to 2016, as console spending shifts to digital channels.